Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.252947 0.296830 0.348749 0.415454 0.499982 0.605048 0.747983
2025-02-09 0.189392 0.243325 0.315608 0.422692 0.583070 0.824796 1.239635
2025-02-16 0.154545 0.211783 0.295835 0.434924 0.674293 1.103552 2.033315
2025-02-23 0.131039 0.188429 0.278788 0.442137 0.758274 1.422126 3.240298
2025-03-02 0.113870 0.170041 0.263548 0.445433 0.835237 1.782864 5.088520
2025-03-09 0.100220 0.154239 0.248313 0.442840 0.898426 2.166532 7.841336
2025-03-16 0.088657 0.139747 0.232004 0.432629 0.939455 2.533343 11.696219
2025-03-23 0.082176 0.132938 0.228327 0.447854 1.053575 3.268443 21.379586
2025-03-30 0.074276 0.122326 0.215153 0.437558 1.092287 3.784181 33.987334
2025-04-06 0.069223 0.116276 0.210023 0.445137 1.191779 4.740881 67.881783
2025-04-13 0.063771 0.108731 0.200444 0.438779 1.243009 5.566362 129.170400
2025-04-20 0.060221 0.104454 0.197176 0.448422 1.360876 7.106504 366.364333
2025-04-27 0.057422 0.101428 0.196405 0.465784 1.528709 9.641152 2155.568137
2025-05-04 0.054528 0.097874 0.193884 0.477698 1.688225 12.926205 73837.629833
2025-05-11 0.052103 0.095014 0.192543 0.493193 1.884546 18.049024 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049577 0.091641 0.189398 0.502057 2.060234 24.699055 NaN
2025-05-25 0.047077 0.088053 0.185155 0.506060 2.217723 33.359920 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044526 0.084093 0.179377 0.503027 2.333145 43.473901 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041867 0.079641 0.171710 0.490973 2.379457 53.028260 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040562 0.078158 0.171798 0.508971 2.678865 86.785790 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038313 0.074281 0.164803 0.496798 2.725586 108.970017 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036943 0.072350 0.163000 0.505758 2.978233 177.939494 NaN
2025-07-06 0.035167 0.069308 0.157658 0.498241 3.072511 247.252646 NaN